Riviera Maya, Q.R. — A brand new system that developed Thursday has a forecasted trajectory for the Caribbean Sea. At the moment, the system has a 20 percent chance of further development during the next several days.

The National Hurricane Centre says the system shows potential for some slow development as it nears the Caribbean Sea. The tropical wave is expected to reach Caribbean waters by the middle of next week.

“A tropical wave located over the tropical central Atlantic is expected to move westward at 15 to 20 mph during the next several days. Some slow development of this system is possible when it reaches the central portion of the Caribbean Sea by the middle part of next week,” reported NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) forecaster Cangialosi.
According to the Weather Channel, the system is likely to further develop into a tropical depression within the next 10 days, noting that it is being forced west due to a high pressure system.
Quintana Roo Civil Protection reported Thursday that they are already monitoring the system. “Zone Warning: A low-pressure area is expected to form in the Central Atlantic,” they said.
The National Hurricane Centre is one of several U.S. agencies operating during the shut-down of the American government. Since it is deemed “necessary to protect life”, they continue to report on weather disturbances.
“The U.S. government is closed. However, because the information this website provides is necessary to protect life and property, this site will be updated and maintained during the federal government shutdown,” they said.

“PLEASE NOTE: The U.S. Government is now closed. This account will not be updated until appropriations are enacted and the government is reopened. However, NOAA websites, services, and social media channels necessary to protect lives and property will be maintained.”
So far this season, the state of Quintana Roo has remain unaffected by any of the Atlantic disturbances that have formed. A majority have developed into hurricanes that turned away from the Caribbean Sea and eventually dissipated in the Eastern Atlantic.

Quintana Roo has had a very dry season, only recently experiencing heavy rain. In the event this current topical wave develops and reaches the Quintana Roo coast, it would be the first of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. The next storm name is Melissa.