Riviera Maya, Q.R. — A new disturbance brewing in the southern Caribbean could soak the region in coming days. As the Atlantic enters its last month of the 2024 hurricane season, three disturbances have popped up.
One of them quickly developed into Tropical Storm Patty Friday, a storm that will not affect Mexico. However, the larger of the current disturbances continues to become organized and has an 80 percent change of further development.
According to the National Hurricane Centre, Disturbance 1 will likely develop into a tropical storm early next week. With wind shear, dry air and cooling Gulf waters, it is unlikely that the disturbance will enter the Gulf and affect the U.S.
However, a current trajectory has it heading toward the coast of Quintana Roo. From the Southwestern Caribbean Sea, the National Hurricane Centre reports disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure.
“Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next few days while the system moves generally northward to northwestward over the central and western Caribbean Sea.
“Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the western Caribbean, including Jamaica, Hispaniola, and Cuba. Interests in the western Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system.”
According to The Weather Channel, the last month of hurricane season generates a storm every one to two years, on average. In the past 10 years, the Atlantic season’s last storm fizzled as late as December 7.
