Riviera Maya, Q.R. — The National Hurricane Centre (NOAA) is monitoring two new disturbances in the Caribbean Sea. One of those disturbances, which developed Monday, is currently brewing in the same area where both Helene and Milton initially started.
On Tuesday morning, the NOAA reported an increased chance of development over the night before. On Monday night, the disturbance, located in the Western Caribbean Sea, had a 20 percent chance of further development, a figure that increased to 30 percent early Tuesday morning.
AccuWeather has given that same system a moderate chance of further development in coming days.
According to forecasts, the low pressure system shows potential for further development as it moves slowly over warm Caribbean Sea waters. Heavy rainfall is expected in Quintana Roo as it nears land.
“A broad area of low pressure could develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea by the middle to latter portions of this week. Some gradual development is possible thereafter if the system stays over water while it moves slowly west-northwestward towards northern Central America.
“Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible across portions of Central America later this week.” they reported.
This area of the disturbance’s position is the same where both Helene and Milton started their formation. On September 24, Helene left Cancun behind after soaking the region and leaving more than 120,000 without power before developing into a major hurricane.
Two days later, another system developed in the same area which eventually grew to be category 5 Hurricane Milton. While both storms passed by the coast of Quintana Roo, both went on the make U.S. landfall as major hurricanes.
Another disturbance currently traveling over the Caribbean Sea is also forecast by AccuWeather to likely impact the coast of Quintana Roo. AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva says they have been tracking a system off the coast of Africa.
Early next week, that system will be entering favorable territory for further development that could impact Quintana Roo.
“We have been tracking a wave of low pressure (tropical wave) that moved off the coast of Africa earlier this month,” DaSilva said. “This feature has been showing some signs of life off and on in recent days but could be entering a much more favorable area for tropical development this week as it nears the Leeward Islands in the northeastern Caribbean.”
