Riviera Maya, Q.R. — Intense monitoring of already Category 3 Hurricane Beryl is part of permanent surveillance for the state of Quintana Roo. Mexico’s National Water Commission (Conagua), part of the country’s Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources, continues to monitor its possible trajectory across the Caribbean.
Juan Ramón Díaz, the Deputy Director of the Conagua Basin and Emergency Management Council said there is ongoing Beryl surveillance in the Atlantic.
According to possible trajectories, the cone of uncertainty extends from Nicaragua to Cuba. He says that by Monday or Tuesday there will be a clearer projection of any possible impact on Quintana Roo.
“The forecast indicates that the hurricane could approach the coast of Quintana Roo between Thursday night and Friday morning with trajectories still to be defined until Tuesday,” he said.
He says its Category 3 status is expected to continue until July 2, however, meteorologists now say Hurricane Beryl, the first of the 2024 Atlantic season, will likely gain even more strength to a Category 4 in coming days as it moves west.
According to The Weather Channel, “Beryl could eventually pose a danger to Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, Belize and Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula later this week. However, there’s uncertainty in that exact track.
“One other uncertainty is how much wind shear Beryl will face in the Caribbean Sea. Typically this time of year, Caribbean wind shear is strong enough to weaken or completely fizzle tropical systems approaching from the east.
“However, model forecasts have hinted that wind shear could be lower than usual, which could allow Beryl to maintain its hurricane intensity longer in the western Caribbean Sea later this week,” they explained.
Quintana Roo Governor Mara Lezama formed a state storm committee that will coordinate with mayors of each municipality in the event of an emergency.
For now, local meteorologists and Conagua (Comisión Nacional del Agua) continue to watch Hurricane Beryl as it heads toward the Caribbean Sea.
